ER + VW — EMA Ribbon + VWAP, HTF-aligned
Two systems sharing one account: ER (5-EMA ribbon pullback, ETH/SOL/ADA/DOGE, 3-4R TP) and VW (VWAP wick-touch, all 6 symbols, 1.5-2.5R TP), both gated on 3-timeframe (1h/2h/4h) HTF alignment. Only one of ER/VW may hold a position on a given symbol at a time. Risk: per-symbol 0.88-1.20% of equity, throttled to 5/8 or 3/8 at 85%/75% of peak equity (full restore at 95% of peak). Re-validated 2026-07-12: full 2021-2026 backtest, 10 random 2-3mo periods, a 20-quarter block-bootstrap simulating 4 years live, and a concurrency sensitivity grid — all profitable, mean EV +0.26R/trade, 14/16 positive quarters.
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Performance Breakdown
Symbol
| Symbol | Trades ↓ | Win % ↕ | Avg R ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 6 | 17% | -0.59R |
| SOL | 5 | 40% | +0.47R |
| DOGE | 4 | 25% | +0.09R |
| ETH | 4 | 25% | -0.63R |
System
| System | Trades ↓ | Win % ↕ | Avg R ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| ER | 15 | 20% | -0.28R |
| VW | 4 | 50% | +0.19R |
Direction
| Direction | Trades ↓ | Win % ↕ | Avg R ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| short | 11 | 36% | +0.33R |
| long | 8 | 13% | -0.88R |
Monthly Returns
| Month | Return | Trades | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | -4.2% | 20 | 25% |
Exchange fees shown per trade (expand any row) — calculate yours and compare rates across crypto exchanges on
tradefeecalc.com →Trade History
19 trades| Date↕ | System↕ | Symbol↕ | Dir↕ | Entry | Exit | PnL (R)↕ | PnL ($)↕ | Result↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ | 7/24/2026 | ER | DOGE | ▼ | 0.06924 | 0.06989 | -1.1R | -$4.55 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/23/2026 | ER | DOGE | ▼ | 0.07236 | 0.07142 | +3.7R | +$15.43 | WIN |
| ▶ | 7/22/2026 | VW | ADA | ▲ | 0.1745 | 0.1741 | -1.3R | -$6.30 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/22/2026 | ER | ADA | ▲ | 0.1769 | 0.1747 | -1.1R | -$5.29 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/21/2026 | ER | SOL | ▲ | 77.92 | 77.49 | -1.1R | -$6.03 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/21/2026 | ER | ADA | ▲ | 0.1762 | 0.1735 | -1.1R | -$5.45 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/21/2026 | ER | ETH | ▲ | 1938.12 | 1925.85 | -1.1R | -$6.72 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/20/2026 | VW | ETH | ▲ | 1870.09 | 1875.31 | +1.2R | +$5.72 | WIN |
| ▶ | 7/20/2026 | ER | DOGE | ▼ | 0.07262 | 0.07312 | -1.2R | -$5.48 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/19/2026 | ER | ETH | ▲ | 1870.24 | 1865.97 | -1.5R | -$9.24 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/17/2026 | VW | ADA | ▼ | 0.161 | 0.1591 | +2.5R | +$12.57 | WIN |
| ▶ | 7/17/2026 | VW | ADA | ▼ | 0.1615 | 0.1617 | -1.6R | -$8.07 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/16/2026 | ER | SOL | ▼ | 75.9 | 74.98 | +2.9R | +$15.63 | WIN |
| ▶ | 7/16/2026 | ER | ETH | ▲ | 1919.42 | 1895 | -1.1R | -$6.23 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/14/2026 | ER | ADA | ▼ | 0.1616 | 0.1638 | -1.0R | -$5.44 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/14/2026 | ER | DOGE | ▼ | 0.0725 | 0.0733 | -1.1R | -$4.51 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/14/2026 | ER | SOL | ▼ | 74.73 | 75.32 | -1.1R | -$6.26 | LOSS |
| ▶ | 7/13/2026 | ER | SOL | ▼ | 76.44 | 75.8 | +2.8R | +$15.33 | WIN |
| ▶ | 7/13/2026 | ER | SOL | ▼ | 76.34 | 76.79 | -1.1R | -$6.28 | LOSS |